← 3rd Eyes
Exchange-verified track record

Every trade. Wins, losses, and stop-outs alike.

This is the complete record of every weather position the 3rd Eyes engine has taken, reconstructed line-by-line from Kalshi's own settlement and fill records - the exchange's data, not ours.

Live results · Apr 23 - Jun 7, 2026

87.7%
Win rate
64-9
Win - Loss
73
Settled trades
+$68.43
Net P&L
How this is verified. Each row is the realized, per-position net - total proceeds plus settlement, minus what we paid and minus exchange fees. Stop-loss exits are counted in full at the price we actually got out, so a market we exited early shows its true cash result, not the outcome we would have had if we'd held. Nothing is rounded up, hidden, or back-filled.

Every position is a NO bet: the engine fades temperature bands the market has priced too high. The edge per trade is small by design - we win often and keep losses tight. Position sizes during this live validation window were modest (roughly $10-$90 per trade).

Date Market (daily high) Call Result Net
Apr 23Miami · >82°NOWIN+$0.46
Apr 23Chicago · >85°NOWIN+$0.18
Apr 24Miami · >85°NOLOSS-$0.17
Apr 25Miami · >86°NOWIN+$0.44
Apr 26Los Angeles · >69°NOWIN+$0.18
Apr 27Los Angeles · >69°NOWIN+$0.37
Apr 28Miami · >87°NOWIN+$1.03
Apr 30Miami · >90°NOWIN+$0.65
Apr 30Denver · <42°NOWIN+$0.46
May 1Miami · >91°NOWIN+$0.18
May 1Chicago · >55°NOWIN+$0.18
May 1Los Angeles · <68°NOWIN+$0.27
May 2Denver · >74°NOWIN+$0.44
May 2Chicago · >58°NOWIN+$0.27
May 2Los Angeles · <65°NOWIN+$0.37
May 2Philadelphia · <60°NOWIN+$0.37
May 3Philadelphia · <60°NOWIN+$2.28
May 3Denver · >78°NOWIN+$2.35
May 3Chicago · >73°NOWIN+$0.27
May 4Chicago · >83°NOWIN+$0.87
May 4New York · >77°NOWIN+$1.28
May 5Austin · >95°NOWIN+$0.85
May 6Miami · >91°NOWIN+$1.41
May 6Chicago · >62°NOWIN+$1.31
May 7Los Angeles · <68°NOWIN+$1.75
May 7Miami · >94°NOWIN+$3.06
May 7Chicago · >65°NOWIN+$1.40
May 8Los Angeles · <68°NOLOSS-$9.62
May 9Miami · >94°NOWIN+$2.28
May 9Los Angeles · <69°NOWIN+$2.28
May 10Miami · >93°NOWIN+$2.06
May 11Los Angeles · <69°NOLOSS-$0.15
May 11Miami · >93°NOWIN+$1.05
May 12Los Angeles · <63°NOWIN+$2.61
May 13Los Angeles · <61°NOWIN+$0.02
May 18Chicago · 86-87°NOWIN+$0.03
May 20Denver · 54-55°NOLOSS-$1.23
May 20Los Angeles · 75-76°NOWIN+$2.55
May 20Chicago · 57-58°NOWIN+$0.30
May 20Denver · 60-61°NOWIN+$0.80
May 21Chicago · 58-59°NOWIN+$16.47
May 21Austin · 77-78°NOWIN+$3.52
May 21Los Angeles · 70-71°NOWIN+$0.56
May 22Los Angeles · 70-71°NOWIN+$9.57
May 22New York · 63-64°NOLOSS-$4.27
May 22Chicago · <64°NOWIN+$4.14
May 22Austin · 91-92°NOWIN+$0.70
May 22Chicago · 64-65°NOWIN+$1.26
May 23Los Angeles · 69-70°NOLOSS-$23.91
May 23Los Angeles · 65-66°NOWIN+$11.44
May 24Los Angeles · 64-65°NOWIN+$8.66
May 24New York · 62-63°NOWIN+$5.60
May 24Austin · 82-83°NOWIN+$7.77
May 25Chicago · 86-87°NOWIN+$0.84
May 25Austin · 93-94°NOWIN+$0.05
May 25Chicago · 88-89°NOWIN+$4.09
May 26Chicago · 89-90°NOWIN+$0.62
May 27Chicago · 81-82°NOLOSS-$16.99
May 28Denver · 80-81°NOWIN+$4.42
May 28Los Angeles · <65°NOWIN+$0.05
May 29Denver · 85-86°NOWIN+$0.08
May 29Los Angeles · 66-67°NOWIN+$7.42
May 30Miami · >92°NOWIN+$3.87
May 31Denver · 83-84°NOWIN+$15.44
Jun 2Denver · 83-84°NOWIN+$0.28
Jun 3Austin · <86°NOWIN+$0.84
Jun 3Miami · >89°NOLOSS-$16.86
Jun 4Miami · >86°NOWIN+$5.32
Jun 4Austin · 90-91°NOWIN+$8.66
Jun 5Austin · 89-90°NOWIN+$0.70
Jun 6New York · <87°NOWIN+$4.74
Jun 6New York · 87-88°NOLOSS-$23.19
Jun 7Austin · 87-88°NOWIN+$1.05
73 trades · 64 wins · 9 losses 87.7% +$68.43

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Prediction-market trading involves risk of loss, including the loss of your entire stake. 3rd Eyes publishes research and signals for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide individualized financial, investment, or trading advice. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Results shown reflect a specific, limited live window and small position sizes and may not be representative of any other period.

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